Mexico Issues New Hurricane Watch North of El Roblito as Simon Nears Coast
The government of Mexico issued a new Hurricane Watch for the coast from north of El Roblito to Bahia Tempehuaya at 3 p.m. CST Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026 (2100 UTC), as Hurricane Simon, a Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph, skirted the coast of west-central Mexico, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in its Advisory Number 18.
At 3 p.m. CST, Simon was centered about 105 miles west-northwest of Manzanillo and about 55 miles south of Cabo Corrientes, moving north-northwest at 6 mph, NHC said. Its minimum central pressure was 947 millibars, and hurricane-force winds extended up to 25 miles from the center, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching out to 60 miles. Simon was expected to pass near the coast of west-central Mexico through Sunday evening, Oct. 11, 2026, move a little farther offshore Monday, Oct. 12, 2026, and then turn back toward the coast of Mexico on Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026, the agency said.
A Hurricane Warning remained in effect for Punta San Telmo to El Roblito and for Las Islas Marias, meaning hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within that area and that preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion, NHC said. The new Hurricane Watch, covering the coast from north of El Roblito to Bahia Tempehuaya, means hurricane conditions are possible there; the agency typically issues a watch about 48 hours before the first expected arrival of tropical-storm-force winds.
Hurricane conditions were likely already occurring within the warning area and were expected to spread north later Sunday into Monday, Oct. 12, 2026, with hurricane conditions possible in the watch area by Wednesday, Oct. 14, 2026, and tropical storm conditions possible there by Tuesday night, Oct. 13, 2026, NHC said. The storm was forecast to add 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated totals of 8 inches, over the states of Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit and Sinaloa through early Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026, and isolated storm totals as high as 30 inches over Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco, raising the risk of life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. A dangerous storm surge was expected along the coast near and east of where Simon's center approaches land, accompanied by large and destructive waves, and swells from the storm were forecast to bring life-threatening surf and rip currents to the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico in the coming days.
